In 2023, the trade volume between the mainland and Macao increased by 4.3 times compared with that before the reunification. At the regular press conference held by the Ministry of Commerce today (12th), spokesman He Yadong introduced that by signing CEPA and its series of agreements, the mainland has fully liberalized its trade in goods and basically liberalized its trade in services. According to statistics, in 2023, the trade volume between the mainland and Macao was 3.84 billion US dollars, an increase of 4.3 times compared with that before the reunification. By October 2024, the mainland had absorbed a total of 23.93 billion US dollars of direct investment from Macao, and the mainland had invested 14.19 billion US dollars in Macao.The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.South Korea's National Assembly passed "Yin Xiyue's General Special Inspection Law" and "Jin Jianxit's Inspection Law". The reporter of the General Station was informed that on the 12th local time, South Korea's National Assembly held a general meeting of parliamentarians and passed "Yin Xiyue's General Special Inspection Law" and "Jin Jianxit's Inspection Law". (CCTV News)
Poly Development: Poly Group increased its holdings by 261 million yuan. According to the announcement of Poly Development, the actual controller of the company, Poly Group, has completed the plan to increase its holdings, and accumulated 27,980,100 A shares, accounting for 0.23% of the total share capital, with an increase of 261 million yuan. This increase plan will last for 12 months from December 12, 2023, and the increase amount will be no less than 250 million yuan and no more than 500 million yuan. After the completion of the increase, Poly Group directly holds about 3.03% of the company's shares, and the total shareholding ratio with its wholly-owned subsidiaries is 40.72%. The increase in holdings is in compliance with relevant laws and regulations, and Poly Group promises not to reduce its holdings within the statutory time limit.Turkish Defense Ministry source: Syrian allies continue to advance in northern Syria to "eliminate terrorism".This year's 2 trillion special bonds for replacing hidden debts have all disclosed that the planned issuance amount of six provinces exceeds 10 million. According to the documents disclosed on China Bond Information Network, Beijing plans to issue 4.7 billion yuan of special bonds for refinancing to replace existing hidden debts, of which the issuance scale of 3-year, 7-year and 10-year special bonds for refinancing is 800 million yuan, 2.725 billion yuan and 1.175 billion yuan respectively. It is worth mentioning that since November 12, the total amount of refinancing special bonds to be issued or issued to replace existing implicit debts has reached 2 trillion yuan. This means that all the refinancing special bonds used by local governments to replace hidden debts have been disclosed this year. (澎湃)
The full implementation of the personal pension system may bring more medium and long-term funds, and the allocation value of the Southern Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF(159925) has attracted much attention. On December 12, the Southern Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF(159925) closed up 1.07%, with a turnover of 92.5438 million yuan. The constituent stocks were all red, with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by 2.47%, Kweichow Moutai rising by 1.97% and Wuliangye rising by 1.62%. China Merchants Bank and China Ping An followed suit. In the news, since December 15th, the personal pension system has been extended to the whole country, and the first batch of 85 index funds have been included in the product range, which has attracted attention, including 12 Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index funds and 300ETF(159925) in South China. According to industry insiders, since the personal pension fund system came into being, both personal pension funds and sales organizations have steadily expanded. The increase of fund products and the continuous addition of new sales organizations will bring more medium and long-term funds to the capital market, and the Southern CSI 300ETF(159925) will benefit in the medium and long term.Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine: We are ready to discuss the deployment of foreign troops in our own territory. On December 12, local time, the reporter of the General Desk learned that Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Stefani Hina said that Ukraine is ready to discuss the deployment of foreign troops in its own territory. It is reported that French President Macron and Polish Prime Minister Tusk plan to exchange views on the deployment of about 40,000 peacekeepers in Uzbekistan on the 12th. (CCTV News)The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13